When you hear about this week’s Mercatus Center report on the financial condition of all 50 states… start by considering the source. Mercatus is housed at George Mason University, so it has a veneer of academic credibility. But here’s what SourceWatch has to say:
“The Mercatus Center was founded and is funded by the Koch Family Foundations. According to financial records, the Koch family has contributed more than thirty million dollars to George Mason, much of which has gone to the Mercatus Center, a nonprofit organization.”
The last time George Mason University really hit the headlines was in 2012, when a faculty economist authored a doomsday report about how horribly Sequester cuts would affect… the Defense Industry.
(Meanwhile, military contractors seem to be doing just fine. Back in November’s budget compromise, Congress gave the Pentagon more than $1.3 billion for programs it didn’t want. And according to Reuters, there’s not much oversight of all that money. “The Pentagon … has not complied with a law that requires annual audits of all government departments. That means that the $8.5 trillion in taxpayer money doled out by Congress to the Pentagon since 1996, the first year it was supposed to be audited, has never been accounted for.”)
But I digress.
The thing that strikes me, about this week’s Mercatus report, is that once again it tries to blame public workers for whatever is wrong with state finances.
- It doesn’t say a thing about corporate giveaways, such as Washington state’s recent biggest-in-US-history giveaway of $8.7 billion to Boeing.
According to a New York Times analysis, these so-called “economic incentives” add up to big money: “Oklahoma and West Virginia give up amounts equal to about one-third of their budgets, and Maine allocates nearly a fifth.” But do these incentives actually work? The Times couldn’t find any evidence.
- It doesn’t say a thing about revenues. Just try Googling “state tax cuts”. Out in Wisconsin, Scott Walker’s going to cut taxes (even more than he already has). Chris Christie wants to cut taxes (even more). Dave Heineman, out in Nebraska, is going to cut taxes. Even Andrew Cuomo is pitching tax cuts.
But, let me digress again. Out there in Nebraska, they actually studied the “economic stimulus” effect of tax cuts. Here’s what they found: even accounting for the “stimulus effect”, a $100 million reduction in regressive sales/use taxes would have a “net revenue impact” of (negative) $79.45 million… while a $100 million cut in income taxes would have an impact of (negative) $93.58 million. That’s right, neither of these types of tax cuts would be good for the state budget; but one of them is much worse than the other. So, guess which type of taxes Governor Heineman wants to cut (rather than expanding Medicaid).
- It doesn’t say a thing about how Wall Street’s “robust recovery” has affected public pension funds. After losing a TRILLION dollars between October 2007 and October 2008, public pension trust funds are finally beginning to recover. Here in New Hampshire, last year, investment returns added $818 million to our Retirement System Trust Fund. How big is that number? The NHRS Trust Fund started the year with less than $6 billion. It paid benefits totaling about $630 million. Do the math yourself: last year, investment returns paid for every single penny of benefits… and still increased the Trust Fund.
So yeah, maybe you should take all those Mercatus Center headlines with a grain of salt.
Or a bushel.
As Amy Traub says: your mailman didn’t make the economy collapse.
And public employees aren’t responsible for the damage that has been done to their state budgets. (We’re just the workers, remember? It’s the elected officials who decide how many billions to give away to private corporations.)